Optimal public deficit and tax-smoothing in the Spanish economy, 1850-2022

1. Congregado, Emilio ¹
2. Esteve, Vicente ²
3. Prats, María A. ³

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More publications in: Documentos de Trabajo (IAES, Instituto Universitario de Análisis Económico y Social)

Abstract

In this paper, we provide a formal test of Barroís tax-smoothing model, using Spanish data covering the period 1850ñ2022. First, we found that the tax-tilting component has been very important for the Spanish government and is a symptom of the existence of a public deÖcit bias that has existed in Spanish public Önances over the sample period. Second, our empirical Öndings do also support the existence of tax-smoothing in Spanish Öscal policy throughout the sample period. Consequently, there is some evidence that the Spanish economy has engaged in tax-smoothing behavior over the period analyzed, as the Spanish governments responded to expected future changes in government spending by running budget imbalances, rather than altering contemporaneous government revenues

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