Opportunities, risks and applications of open source Intelligence in cybersecurity and cyberdefence

Resumen

The intelligence gathering has transformed significantly in the digital age. A qualitative leap within this domain is the sophistication of Open Source Intelligence (OSINT), a paradigm that exploits publicly available information for planned and strategic objectives. The main purpose of this PhD thesis is to motivate, justify and demonstrate OSINT as a reference paradigm that should complement the present and future of both civilian cybersecurity solutions and cyberdefence national and international strategies. The first objective concerns the critical examination and evaluation of the state of OSINT under the current digital revolution and the growth of Big Data and Artificial Intelligence (AI). The second objective is geared toward categorizing security and privacy risks associated with OSINT. The third objective focuses on leveraging the OSINT advantages in practical use cases by designing and implementing OSINT techniques to counter online threats, particularly those from social networks. The fourth objective embarks on exploring the Dark web through the lens of OSINT, identifying and evaluating existing techniques for discovering Tor onion addresses, those that enable the access to Dark sites hosted in the Tor network, which could facilitate the monitoring of underground sites. To achieve these objectives, we follow a methodology with clearly ordered steps. Firstly, a rigorous review of the existing literature addresses the first objective, focusing on the state of OSINT, its applications, and its challenges. This serves to identify existing research gaps and establish a solid foundation for an updated view of OSINT. Consequently, a critical part of the methodology involves assessing the potential security and privacy risks that could emerge from the misuse of OSINT by cybercriminals, including using AI to enhance cyberattacks, fulfilling the second objective. Thirdly, to provide practical evidence regarding the power of OSINT, we work in a Twitter use case in the context of the 2019 Spanish general election, designing and implementing OSINT methods to understand the behaviour and impact of automated accounts. Through AI and social media analysis, this process aims to detect social bots in the wild for further behaviour characterization and impact assessment, thus covering the third objective. The last effort is dedicated to the Dark web, reviewing different works in the literature related to the Tor network to identify and characterize the techniques for gathering onion addresses essential for accessing anonymous websites, completing the fourth objective. This comprehensive methodology led to the publication of five remarkable scientific papers in peer-reviewed journals, collectively forming the basis of this PhD thesis. As main conclusions, this PhD thesis underlines the immense potential of OSINT as a strategic tool for problem-solving across many sectors. In the age of Big Data and AI, OSINT aids in deriving insights from vast, complex information sources such as social networks, online documents, web pages and even the corners of the Deep and Dark web. The practical use cases developed in this PhD thesis prove that incorporating OSINT into cybersecurity and cyberdefence is increasingly valuable. Social Media Intelligence (SOCMINT) helps to characterize social bots in disinformation contexts, which, in conjunction with AI, returns sophisticated results, such as the sentiment of organic content generated in social media or the political alignment of automated accounts. On the other hand, the Dark Web Intelligence (DARKINT) enables gathering the links of anonymous Dark web sites. However, we also expose in this PhD thesis that the development of OSINT carries its share of risks. Open data can be exploited for social engineering, spear-phishing, profiling, deception, blackmail, spreading disinformation or launching personalized attacks. Hence, the adoption of legal and ethical practices is also important.